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. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. Hovland, like Thomas, has one weaker portion of his game, and that is his one-putt percentage. These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. No, hes not hurt. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. Sign up for an account to get into the action today. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. But yeah, right now, its been good; Ive had no issues. The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks. Bergers not long by Tour standards, but he is accurate, and hes a killer around the greens, which will be essential at the new-look Southern Hills with its slick, difficult-to-hit surfaces. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Lee is an excellent golfer, make no mistake, but he hasn't quite looked ready to win a PGA TOUR event prior to the weekend. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. Wins at the U.S. Open (Merion) and Colonial were contested on courses that feature Maxwells fingerprints. A feast or famine player, Champ has been flashing some strong form lately. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. However, his game fits Southern Hills and he seems to be enjoying the course. I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. There also aren't as many trees narrowing angles to the fairway and hole. Strokes gained approaching the green (SG:APR) will also be important for this major, as will one-putt percentage. Yang, +100,000. Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. Most people don't realize how good Berger has beenrecently and over the past year. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. He is also in the top half of the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and ball-striking. Jordan Spieth 9.. Thomas ranks top-five in SG:OTT, top 10 in scrambling from the rough and is the best one-putter on the PGA Tour with a one-putt percentage of just under 46. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. Cameron Young plays his shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 14, 2022, in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. Who will disappoint? Taking sleeper picks is. That won't be easy. Looking at the course, the putting grass thats going to be used is called paspalum, which is popular on European tracks. Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Are they right? Yang is in the field. He was lurking at Bellerive in 2018 and Bethpage Black in 2019, so I don't see why he can't at Southern Hills in 2022. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. All Rights Reserved. 38 in the Official World Golf Rankings. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. WIN CASH WITH ROTOQL & BETQL: Start free trial. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know, Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event, Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title, Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022, How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. We have about 30 acres right now. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 betting favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational . Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. It will also be good to find a player that can find success out of the rough. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. Hes just, well, not there. Golf's second major is upon us as the best players in the world head to Tulsa, Oklahoma for the 2022 PGA . 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. Its a long shot, but this is a dice roll I feel good about taking. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. 2. 17. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. Speaking of high numbers! Read below for our favorite sleepers and longshots in the outright, T10 and T20 markets. The golf world has dramatically shifted since last time the worlds best golfers teed off at Southern Hills at the 2007 PGA Championship. So how is the worlds 79th ranked player 250/1 this week? But the truth of the matter is that favorites dont always win golf tournaments. Obviously, a lot has. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. Can he repeat his success at the tour's next major, the 2022 PGA Championship? Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. But theres something about Southern Hills that I think will suit the Aussie to snap that streak. If you like storylines entering a. You can go out and hit 18 greens and two-putt each one and shoot 70 and be disappointed because you feel like you shouldve shot 64.. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. In 2018, he finished secondat both the Open Championship and at the U.S. Open. Which one is the best for you? Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. In his first PGA Championship in 2020, Schaeffler finished fourth with a score of -10 (eighth in 2021). Below are the odds for the top golfers in this year's PGA Championship. There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . hot putters. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Twilight 9 podcast PGA Championship preview: Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. We hate touts. The other is Adam Scott, who finished T12 here in 2007 and continues to play great golf. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. This weekend is shaping up to be a legendary moment in the history of golf, as 156 of the best golfers in the world compete at the legendary Old Course at St Andrew's. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. Obviously, well need a hot week with the putter. The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. If Zalatoris remains near 10% is a great play. He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. Henley ranks fifth in the field in approach and 20th around the green. The 104th PGA Championship will take place from May 19-22 at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Tulsa, Okla.,plays host to a stacked field, wide open for a winner to emerge from among the favorites or from well further down the board. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. K.H. PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. He will win a major, and likely soon. This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. He went T-2 at the Wells Fargo and T-3 at the RBC Heritage in his last two starts. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. 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This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. 21+ only. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. PGA Tour Rising Stars: 6 Pro Golfers to Watch in 2023. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Ive only seen 9 holes and Southern Hills is already up there with the best courses Ive played in my life #golf, Jason Day waits to putt on the 18th green during the first round of the AT&T Byron Nelson golf tournament. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill By CBS Sports Staff 15 mins ago 3 min read USATSI The. As for Thomas, he has had six top-10 finishes in competitions since January. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. Casual golf fans may not know his name, but they will soon as he continues to contend on a weekly basis. Metrics wise, Hovland pops off the charts, ranking fourth in both "Strokes Gained: Total" and "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee," sixth in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 23rd in "SG: Approach" this season. Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Defending champion Collin Morikawa's betting odds are listed at +2800. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. (!!) Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. Who will win the PGA Championship, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? Getting one of the best ball strikers on tour, who is familiar with the course, under 10% owned may just be too lucrative to pass up. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. A player with his ability and consistency should not be priced this high. The PGA Tour rookie is now up to No. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. Its got a lot to do with just the bone was healed, there was just a lot of nerve damage. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. 1. And when hes not writing about ways to hit the golf ball farther and straighter, the Milwaukee native is probably playing the game, hitting the ball left, right and short, and drinking a cold beer to wash away his score. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. (Photo: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports). There are two players that stick out as solid winner bets for this weekend's major: Justin Thomas (+1200) and Viktor Hovland (+2500). As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) The Twitter handle is a joke. So, good putters should fare well on this course. He won the 2007 PGA at Southern Hills. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. You can too! Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. I worry this course might be a little too long for him, but he's too good to leave off the card. The 2022 PGA Championship will be underway this week. When: March 2 to 5, 2023. This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. He ranks just 87th in one-putting, but he should be a steady performer this week. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. 2021 PGA Championship Overview 2. Last week, Jordan Spieth was asked about the sneaky-best short-game whizzes on Tour. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). The form is there, and by all accounts, the course fit is there. Some recency bias could be coming into play. In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. For whatever reason, hes embraced Perry Maxwell designs during his career. Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. The PGA Championship has become a melting pot for difficult but fair conditions as of late, and the phrase "there's no faking it" has become synonymous with the championship's setup. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. McNealy has only missed the cut once since last years PGA Championship! Rahm is fresh off a win at the Mexico Open and has logged a top-13 finish in three of his last four appearances at the PGA Championship. That changes this week with the arrival of the seasons second major championship: the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. . You arent finding any other player with four wins since 2019 being offered at odds this high. https://t.co/sKxOMtygIW. The only common thread I can find between past winners at Southern Hills is that theyre all properly good ball-strikers. At 20-1, Smith clearly presents the best value this week at Southern Hills. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Tiger Woods, however, will be in the field, and he will look to build upon his relative success in the Masters six weeks ago. In 14 starts this calendar year, Higgs has just one top-15 finish and five made cuts. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Mickelson won't be participating in the event in 2022, so there will be a new champion by the end of the weekend. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - Tyrell Hatton has now gained strokes putting in nine straight events. With that said, however, his great form and how hes succeeding leads me to believe he can be a factor this week. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? your golf bets? For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. Potential shortstop sleepers. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Rory McIlroy 8. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Bet with your head, not over it. No real weaknesses. But those that can get close to the pin should be in the best position to win. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Fifty-four holes, no cut, that's an easy life" -- Padraig Harrington. Crazy talent. Also, the smartest picker I know has been crowing about Young for months. Lets dig in and find some winners! Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted.